Prediksi Finansial Distress pada Salah Satu Bank Konvensional Menggunakan Machine Learning

  • Fuji Lestari Program Studi Sains Aktuaria, Jurusan Sains, Institut Teknologi Sumatera

Abstract

Financial distress is when a company experiences a shortage or insufficient funds to run the company. Prediction of financial distress is needed to prevent bankruptcy. In this study, financial distress predictions were made based on financial ratios obtained from monthly financial reports from a bank convention, after which the proportion that had the most influence on financial distress was determined. The models used in this study are several machine learning models, namely, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest. Based on the analysis results, the best model for predicting financial pressure is the Random Forest Model, with an accuracy of 96.77%. Based on the best model obtained, namely the Random Forest, it can be determined that the ratio that is very influential on financial distress is the ratio of Total Asset Turnover.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] V. R. Bencivenga dan B.D. Smith, “Financial intermediation and endogenous growth”, The Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 58: 195-209, 1991.
[2] Badan Pusat Statistik (2020). Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Tahun 2020. Jakarta.
[3] K. L. Tran dkk, “Explainable Machine Learning for Financial Distress Prediction: Evidence from Vietnam,” MDPI, Vol. 7: 160, 2022.
[4] I. M. Parapat, M. T. Furqon, dan Sutrisna. “Penerapan Metode Support Vector Machine (SVM) Pada Klasifikasi Penyimpangan Tumbuh Kembang Anak”, Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer, Vol. 2, No. 10: 3163-3169, 2018.
[5] (IMF), I.N. (2022). World Ecnomic Outlook (International Monetary Fund). Washington: International Monetary Fund.
Published
2023-07-30
How to Cite
LESTARI, Fuji. Prediksi Finansial Distress pada Salah Satu Bank Konvensional Menggunakan Machine Learning. Indonesian Journal of Applied Mathematics, [S.l.], v. 3, n. 1, p. 21-25, july 2023. ISSN 2774-2016. Available at: <https://journal.itera.ac.id/index.php/indojam/article/view/1284>. Date accessed: 19 may 2024. doi: https://doi.org/10.35472/indojam.v3i1.1284.