Analisis Peta Persebaran dan Pembandingan Hasil Forecasting Ketersediaan Beras di Kabupaten Tulang Bawang Provinsi Lampung

Noveliska - Br Sembiring; Rosmawati Kunti Hapsari; Ilham Marvie

doi:10.35472/cfst.v1i1.969

Noveliska - Br Sembiring Institut Teknologi Sumatera
Rosmawati Kunti Hapsari
Ilham Marvie

DOI: https://doi.org/10.35472/cfst.v1i1.969

Abstract

The availability of rice as a staple food commodity is one of the essential aspects in showing food security in an region, and the government must guarantee its availability. Tulang bawang regency is one of the rice barns in Lampung province, with a total population of 427,000 people. This study aims to map the condition of rice availability in Tulang bawang Regency from 2016-to 2020. In addition, this study also aims to analyze the forecasting of rice production, consumption, and availability in Tulang bawang regency. This study uses secondary data from the Food Security Office and the Statistics Center Office of Tulang bawang regency from 2016-to 2022. This research uses mapping analysis processed with microsoft excel and forecasting analysis with linear regression method. The mapping results show that the availability of rice in all sub-districts in Tulang bawang regency is moving towards a surplus from 2016-to 2020, and fewer sub-districts are experiencing a rice availability deficit. Forecasting results on production, consumption, population, and rice availability have residuals with actual data even though the movement trends are both positive.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] H. P. Saliem and M. Ariani, “Ketahanan Pangan, Konsep, Pengukuran dan Strategi,” Forum Penelit. Agro Ekon., vol. 20, no. 1, p. 12, 2016.
[2] Anonim, UU No 18 Tahun 2012 tentang pangan. Republik Indonesia, 2012.
[3] Badan Pusat Statistik, “Pengeluaran Rata-Rata Perkapita Per Bulan menurut Kelompok Makanan 2015-2020.,” 2021. .
[4] Y. Sari, “Analisis Ketersediaan dan Kebutuhan Beras di Provinsi Sumatera Utara,” Universitas Medan Area, 2018.
[5] S. Pujiati, A. Pertiwi, C. C. Silfia, D. M. Ibrahim, and S. H. Nur Hafida, “Analisis Ketersediaan, Keterjangkauan Dan Pemanfaatan Pangan Dalam Mendukung Tercapainya Ketahanan Pangan Masyarakat Di Provinsi Jawa Tengah,” J. Sos. Ekon. Pertan., vol. 16, no. 2, p. 123, 2020.
[6] Badan Pusat Statistik, “Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka Kabupaten Tulang Bawang,” 2021. .
[7] L. S. . Mahdalena W, Supriana T, “Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi ketersediaan beras dan jagung di provinsi sumatera utara,” J. USU, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 1–13, 2015.
[8] A. Hijriani, K. Muludi, and E. A. Andini, “Implementasi Metode Regresi Linier Sederhana Pada Penyajian Hasil Prediksi Pemakaian Air Bersih PDAM Way Rilau Kota Bandar Lampung Dengan Sistem Informasi Geofrafis,” J. Ilm. Ilmu Komput., vol. 11, pp. 37–42, 2016.
[9] A. G. Onibala, Mex, L.S., K. Rine, and M. Juliana, “Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Produksi Padi Sawah di Kelurahan Koya, Kecamatan Tondano Selatan,” Agri-Sosio Ekon. Unsrat, vol. 13, pp. 237 – 242, 2017.
[10] Y. Purwaningsih, “Ketahanan Pangan: Situasi, Permasalahan, Kebijakan dan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat,” J. Ekon. Pembang., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 1–27, 2008.
[11] S. H. Susilowati, “Fenomena Penuaan Petani dan Berkurangnya Tenaga Kerja Muda serta Implikasinya bagi Kebijakan Pembangunan Pertanian,” Forum Penelit. Agro Ekon., vol. 34, no. 1, p. 35, 2016.
[12] M. Mukholifah, U. Tisna, and V. Arshyantama, “Dinamika Kelompok Usaha tani Terhadap Minat Genarasi Muda Pada Kegiatan Usaha Tani Padi (Oryza sativa. L) di Kecamatan Gantar Kabupaten Indramayu,” J. Inov. Penelit., vol. 1, no. 4, p. 679, 2020.